鉴于国外糟糕的社会政治生态，我们可以肯定地说，疫情已经失控，并呈现出了世界末日的特征；这种特征主要表现在三个方面：

 

         第一，巨大的人口伤亡；失控的疫情，将导致数亿人感染，将有数以百万计，乃至上千万人的死亡；

 

         第二，全球经济崩溃；大规模扩散的疫情，将对全球经济造成重创，并将引发部分国家，严重的社会动荡；

 

         第三，全球政治秩序崩塌；由于经济的崩溃，将直接导致雅尔塔体系终结，全球的国际秩序，将被彻底重构；

 

 

         想必很多人都会说，现在中国之外，那么多的国家，感染人数，虽然超过了1万，但主要集中在个别几个国家，怎么就敢断言已经失控？另外，就算是疫情失控，也不会是世界末日啊，这未免有点太危言耸听了吧？

          疫情是否失控

 

          首先，关于疫情是否失控，我们可以通过以下几个方面，来进行分析判断：1、疫情当前状态，2、各国政府的行动，3、各国民众的认知，4、各国民众的意愿，5、各国医疗系统能力，6、各国政府的能力，7、国际的救援；

 

          1、疫情当前的状态

 

     3月7日，中国除武汉以外新增新冠肺炎全部为零，武汉新增也只有41例，另有3例为其它地区境外输入病例。

 

然而全球疫情却不容乐观，在中国付出巨大代价，为阻止全球疫情爆发做出巨大牺牲并取得重大胜利的情况下，其它国家却依然我行我素，没有为应对大规模疫情做好准备，甚至根本没有准备，造成了在中国疫情之后依然出现全球疫情大爆发的局面。

 

3月8日，世卫组织发布新冠肺炎报告，中国境外已有98个国家累计确诊新冠肺炎24677例，累计死亡502例，全球新冠肺炎病例已超过10万例。

 

韩国累计超7000例。

 

意大利累计超6000例，经意大利内阁部长会议研究决定，意大利伦巴第大区所辖市镇，以及其他大区所辖11座城市将纳入新的红色隔离区，全面封锁，除执行任务的军警、医护人员和紧急救援人员，红色隔离区禁止所有人员出入。

 

伊朗累计确诊5823例，日本国内累计确诊420例，“钻石公主”号邮轮上确诊696例，总共累计确诊1116例。

 

欧洲多国累计确诊病例大幅增加，法国累计确诊949例，德国累计确诊795例，西班牙累计确诊516例，英国累计确诊206例，瑞典累计确诊161例。

 

美国共报告新冠肺炎检测呈阳性445例，死亡19例，7日新增确诊病例95例，死亡病例5例，美国纽约州累计确诊89例，其中有10人在医院接受治疗，其余患者均在家中隔离，纽约州长科莫宣布全州进入紧急状态。

 

游弋在美国加州海岸的“至尊公主”号邮轮，已经有数十人的核酸检测呈阳性，正在重演在日本发生的“钻石公主”号邮轮的悲剧。

 

         2、各国政府的行动

 

         众所周知，绝大部分国家，都是实行皿煮扯淡制；而从最日韩两国的反应，就可以明确看出，皿煮体制的反应速度，异常迟缓；皿煮制最大的优点就是，前期扯淡不当回事，后期失控无能为力；但是，任何人，都不必为此负责；

 

 

         于是，绝大多数国家，在疫情爆发初期的几周内，如不能迅速控制局势，那么，累计感染病例一旦上千，基本就丧失了，防控的最佳时机；

 

         目前，很多国家已经过百，但像德国、法国的卫生官员，却还宣称不会采取，任何的封闭措施；更有甚者，像印尼的卫生官员，竟然还公开宣称，要靠祈祷来战胜疫情，如此的防疫态度，简直如儿戏一般；

        3、各国民众的认知

 

        我们知道，在实行皿煮制的国家，人权和自由至高无上；无论发生什么事情，都不允许侵犯自由和人权；就像韩国的那些国民，明知病毒强势袭来，却还要拒绝政府管制，强行举办大规模集会；在中国，为抗疫而制定了严厉的法律，即便如此，都还是有人，不惜以身试法；试想皿煮国家，如何能管得住自由的民众？

 

 

      再加上很多国家的政府，故意隐瞒信息，误导民众；比如美国和日本，政府首脑公开声称：新冠病毒，只是大号的流感，甚至号召人们不戴口罩；在如此这般的神操作下，民众必然放松警惕，为病毒大规模扩散，创造条件；

 

      4、各国民众的意愿

 

       我们知道， 中国爆发新冠疫情，国家对一切发病者，都有收尽收，并且专门划拨巨额财政拨款，为所有患者的诊疗，提供费用兜底；说白了，就是不管有多少病人，也不管花多少钱，国家都将给予免费救治；

 

      但是，在资本主义社会，可没有免费的午餐；据新闻报道，在美国，有人如果怀疑自己感染，而要去医院进行新冠测试；那么，至少要花费几百美元，这还只是检测，如果是后期治疗，费用必定是个天价；如此，想必很多人，即便已经发病，也不会去医院，而是任由病毒扩散；

169. Don't let yesterday use up too much of today.  维紧流形。如果观察克莱因瓶，有一点似乎令人困惑－－克莱因瓶的瓶颈和瓶身是相交的，换句话说，瓶颈上的某些点和瓶壁上的某些点占据了三维空间中的同一个位置。我们可以把克莱因瓶放在四维空间中理解：克莱因瓶是一个在四维空间中才可能真正表现出来的曲面。如果我们一定要把它表现在我们生活的三维空间中，我们只好将就点，把它表现得似乎是自己和自己相交一样。克莱因瓶的瓶颈是穿过了第四维空间再和瓶底圈连起来的，并不穿过瓶壁。用扭结来打比方，如果把它看作平面上的曲线的话，那么它似乎自身相交，再一看似乎又断成了三截。但其实很容易明白，这个图形其实是三维空间中的曲线。它并不和自己相交，Abbie, who was the very reverse of her sister in appearance and disposition, still remained in the convent, the seclusion of which had not transformed her into a religious recluse—rather the reverse. Her association with gay daughters of wealthy Seigneurs and others had the effect of deepening her love of adventure and romance. Sally Smith continued to be her most intimate friend, and any holidays, which in those days were few and far between, were spent at the Citadel. One evening a young officer called, and during the absence of her mother from the room Sally said, her eyes dancing with mischief: "Let me introduce you to my friend, Miss Wabisca Onodis, Lieutenant Randall. Miss Onodis," she continued, "is the daughter of an Algonquin Chief, and is a boarder at the convent." "Aw, indeed," said the officer, "I should never have dreamed that your friend was an Indian girl. Have you had much difficulty in acquiring a knowledge of English?" asked the lieutenant. "Not at all," replied Abbie, "I understand everything that is said, but find difficulty at times in choosing words best fitted to give expression to my deepest emotions." "Aw, I quite understand. They say that the Indian nature is much more intense than that of other civilized nations. What is exceedingly difficult even for an Englishman must be much more so for one of your temperament. No language, I believe, either written nor spoken, can convey any adequate idea of the emotion of love, for instance. Is that your experience, Miss Onodis?" Just then Mrs. Smith entered, and the conversation turned to that perennial subject—the weather. The friendship thus formed soon ripened into more than a mere friendship. Frequent messages passed between the convent and the Citadel, messages in cypher, for Therese, an Indian girl, had furnished Abbie with a list of Algonquin words and phrases expressive of deep sentiment, which were quite unintelligible to the nuns, and as the officer was furnished with a similar vocabulary, messages were frequently carried by Sally between the two. This went on for some time until the nuns found a scrap of paper on the floor containing the following mysterious words: Nitam shaquoi yanque kitchioni chishim Kin mishiwaiasky nin Othai icha quisco. Ka qui nick kitayam.                                    Wabisca Onodis. After matins the Mother Superior addressed about two hundred young women in the Assembly Hall in the following words: "Young ladies, a very mysterious letter has been found. It is evidently in the Indian language. It is probably intended for one of our Indian young ladies. Did anyone present lose a letter?" No one spoke. "O'Jawa," said the superior, addressing a young Indian girl, "will you come forward and see if this letter is written in one of the Iroquois or one of Algonquin dialects?" O'Jawa promptly came up the aisle, and scanning the paper, said: "It is Algonquin, Mother." "To whom is it addressed?" "To no one, Mother," she replied. "By whom is it signed?" "By a White Chief, Mother." "Please translate it," said the Mother Superior. O'Jawa read slowly and deliberately: "First—last—and best, Thou art all the world to me. My heart burns.                    "Always yours,                                        "WHITE CHIEF." "This letter," continued the Mother Superior, "evidently belongs to one of the Algonquin girls, who probably has been receiving secret missives of a similar nature from some white man. As you are aware, young ladies, this offence is punishable with expulsion. Deceit is the mother of all vices. The sisters cannot assume the responsibility of the care of any young lady who would deliberately deceive them in this way; therefore I am under the painful necessity of investigating this matter more fully. Therese, come forward. Your guilty face indicates that you were the recipient of this letter. Were you?" "I was not, Mother." "Then it was sent to you and the bearer dropped it before you saw it. Is not that the case?" "I do not know, Mother." "Have you ever received any communications of this nature before?" "I have not, Mother." "Do you know any White Chief?" "I do not, Mother." "Do you know for whom this missive was intended?" Therese hesitated. The question was repeated. "I do, Mother," she said. "Do you know by whom it was written?" Taking the letter in her hand she said, slowly: "I do, Mother." "Then, Therese, I must demand the names of both the sender and the intended recipient." "Who wrote that letter?" "I shall not tell," she said, slowly and with great determination. "I shall give you five minutes to answer my question, Therese, and if you stubbornly persist in concealing these facts from me I shall declare you expelled." There was silence in the hall—not a soul stirred. Therese stood calmly awaiting her doom, when suddenly there was a shuffling at the back of the hall and Abbie came forward and addressed the Superior: "I wrote that letter. It was intended for a young officer at the Citadel. If you are going to expel anyone, expel me." The Mother Superior hesitated. She looked at Abbie, then at Therese, and said, solemnly: "Tell us about it," said the officer. "You tell about it, father," said Bearie. "It is a long story," replied the Chief, "but I shall try to tell it as briefly as possible. The priest said that the French colonists had suffered much from the cruelty of the Iroquois tribes, who had decided to destroy the whole French colony. A Mohegan Indian told the French that eight hundred Indian warriors were encamped near Montreal, and would soon be joined by four hundred more from the Uttawas, and that they had planned to take Quebec, kill the Governor, burn up the town, massacre the inhabitants; after which they would proceed to do the same with Three Rivers and Montreal. "A young officer named Daulac, who was in command of the garrison at Montreal, proposed to entrap them on their way down the Ottawa and fight them. Sixteen young fellows from Montreal volunteered to go with him. They did not know much about canoeing, for they were a whole week in attempting to pass the swift current at St. Anne, at the head of the Island of Montreal. In the meantime they were overtaken by forty Hurons and several Christian Algonquins. When they saw the rushing, foaming waters of the Sault they decided to go no farther, for they knew that the Iroquois were sure to pass there. He pointed out a spot just below the rapids, where the woods slope gently down to the shore, where an old Algonquin palisade fort stood. 'It was,' he said, 'a mere enclosure of trunks of trees planted in a circle.' In a few days they saw two Iroquois canoes coming down the Sault. Daulac and his men hid behind the bushes and, as they landed, shot all but one, who escaped and fled through the forest to the main body. "'Suddenly,' said the priest, 'a fleet of canoes filled with Iroquois came bounding down the rapids. Soon as they landed they smashed the bark canoes of the French, and, kindling the bark, ran up to set fire to the palisade. Three times they attempted to storm the little fort, but were driven back by the deadly fire of the small garrison. Their rage was unbounded. They sent word to five hundred of their tribe, who were camped at the mouth of the Richelieu, to come to their aid. This so frightened the Hurons that they deserted and betrayed the smallness of their force to the enemy, who advanced with yells, firing as they came on. But again they had to fall back, owing to the deadly fire of the French. The latter held out for three days, and the Iroquois were on the verge of giving up the siege when they resolved to make one last attempt. They made large, heavy shields, four or five feet high, by lashing together three split logs fastened together with cross bars. Under cover of these they advanced, reached the palisade, and, crouching below the range of shot, hewed furiously with their axes until they cut their way through. Daulac filled a large musketoon with powder, and after plugging up the muzzle attached a fuse, and tried to throw it over the palisade, but it fell back among the French and exploded, killing and wounding several and blinding others.而是连续不断的一条曲线。在平面上一条曲线自然做不到这样，但是如果有第三维的话，它就可以穿过第三维来避开和自己相交。只是因为我们要把它画在二维平面上时，只好将就一点，把它画成相交或者断裂了的样子。克莱因瓶也一样，我们可以把它理解成处于四维空间中的曲面。在我们这个三维空间中，即使是最高明的能工巧匠，也不得不把它做成自身层意义。如果一颗超新星爆发的位置非常接近地球，目前国际天文学界普遍认为此距离在100光年以内的哲学、科学和文艺。这就是震撼欧洲的文艺复兴运动。文艺复兴首先发生于意大利，很快就扩大到波兰及欧洲其他国家。与此同时，商业的活跃也促进了对外贸易的发展。在“黄金”这个符咒的驱使下，许多欧洲冒险者远航非洲、印度及整个远东地区。远洋航行需要丰富的天文和地理知识，从实际中积累起来的观测资料，使人们感到当时流行的“地静天动”的宇宙学说值得怀疑，这就要求人们进一步去探索宇宙的秘密，从而推进了天文学和地理学的发展。1492年，意大利著名的航海家哥伦布发现新大陆，麦哲伦和他的同伴绕地球一周，证明地球是圆形的，使人们开始真正认识地球。[4] 对他国的影响 在教会严密控制下的中世纪，也发生过轰轰烈烈的宗教革命。因为天主教的很多教义不符合圣经的教诲，而加入了太多教皇的个人意志以及各类神学家的自身成果，所以很多信徒开始质疑天主教的教义和组织，发起回归圣经的行动来。捷克的爱国主义者、布拉格大学校长扬·胡斯（1369～1415年）在君士坦丁堡的宗教会议上公开谴责德意志封建主与天主教会对捷克的压迫和剥削。他虽然被反动教会处以火刑，但他的革命活动在社会上引起了强烈的反应。捷克农民在胡斯党人的旗帜下举行起义，这次运动也波及波兰。1517年，在德国，马丁·路德（1483～1546年）反对教会贩卖赎罪符，别留念昨天了，把握好今天吧。(Will Rogers) 170. If you are not brave enough, no one will back you up. 你不勇敢，没人替你坚强。171. If you don't build your dream, someone will hire you to build theirs. 如果你没有梦想，那么你只能为别人的梦想打工。172. Beauty is all around, if you just open your heart to see. 只要你给自己机会，你会发现你的世界可以很美丽。173. The difference in winning and losing is most often...not quitting.     在四维空间中才可能真正表现出来的曲面。如果我们一定要把它表现在我们生活的三维空间中，我们只好将就点，把它表现得似乎是自己和自己相交一样。克莱因瓶的瓶颈是穿过了第四维空间再和瓶底圈连起来的，并不穿过瓶壁。用扭结来打比方，如果把它看作平面上的曲线的话，那么它似乎自身相交，再一看似乎又断成了三截。但其实很容易明白，这个图形其实是三维空间中的曲线。它并不和自己相交，而是连续不断的一条曲线。在平面上一条曲线自然做不到这样，但是如果有第三维的话，它就可以穿过第三维来避开和自己相交。只是因为我们要把它画在二维平面上时，只好将就一点，把它画成相交或者断裂了的样子。克莱因瓶也一样，我们可以把它理解成处于四维空间中的曲面。在我们这个三维空间中，即使是最高明的能工巧匠，也不得不把它做成自身相交的模样；就好像最高明的画家，在纸上画扭结的时候也不得不把它们画成自身相交的模样。有趣的是，如果把克莱因瓶沿着它的对称线切下去，竟会得到两个莫比乌斯环。在二维看似穿过自身的绳子 在二维看似穿过自身的绳子 如果莫比乌斯带能够完美的展现一个“二维空间中一维可无限扩展之空间模型”的话，克莱因瓶只能作为展现一个“三维空间中二维可无限扩展之空间模型”的参考。因为在制作莫比乌斯带的过程中，我们要对纸带进行180°翻转再首尾相连，这就是一个三维空间下的操作。理想的“三维空间中二维可无限扩展之空间模型”应该是在二维面中，朝任意方向前进都可以回到原点的模型，而克莱因瓶虽然在二维面上可以向任意方向无限前进。但是只有在两个特定的方向上才会回到原点，并且只有在其中一个方向上，回到原点之前会经过一个“逆向原点”，真正理想的“三维空间中二维可无限扩展之空间模型”也应该是在二维面上朝任何方向前进，都会先经过一次“逆向原点”，再回到原点。而制作这个模型，则需要在四维空间上对三维模型进行扭曲。数学中有一个重要分支叫“拓扑学”，主要是研究几何图形连续改变形状时的一些特征和规律的，克莱因瓶和莫比乌斯带变成了拓扑学中最有趣的问题之一。莫比乌斯带的概念被广泛地应用到了建筑，艺术，工业生产中。三维空间里的克莱因瓶 拓扑学的定义编辑 克莱因瓶定义为正方形区域 [0,1]×[0,1] 模掉等价关系(0,y)~(1,y), 0≤y≤1 和 (x,0)~(1-x,1), 0≤x≤1。类似于 Mobius Band, 克莱因瓶不可定向。但 Mobius 带可嵌入  阳系里的所有天体牢牢地吸引在它的周围，使它们不离不散、井然有序地绕自己旋转。同时，太阳又作为一颗普通恒星，带领它的成员，万古不息地绕银河系的中心运动。[39]  太阳的半径为696000千米，质量为1.989×10^30kg，中心温度约15000000 ℃，。[40]  如果一个人站在太阳表面，那么他的体重将会是在地球上的20倍。[41]  现代星云假说根据观测资料和理论计算，提出：太阳系原始星云是巨大的星际云瓦解的一个小云，一开始就在自转，并在自身引力作用下收缩，中心部分形成太阳，外部演化成星云盘，星云盘以后形成行星。目前，现代星云说又存在不同学派，这些学派之间还存在着许多差别，有待进一步研究和证实。[42] 金星是离太阳的第二颗行星，夜空中亮度仅次于月球。[43]  金星上没有水，大气中严重缺氧，二氧化碳占97%以上，空气中有一层厚达20千米至30千米的浓硫酸云，地面温度从不低于400℃，是个名副其实的“炼狱”般世界。金星地面的大气压强为地球的90倍，相当于地球海洋中900米深度时的压强。金星大气主要由二氧化碳等温室气体组成，失控的温室效应，是导致金星极端气候的主要原因。由于金星没有内禀磁层保护，诱发磁层中磁场重联释放的巨大能量，使得金星大气被加热后加速逃逸。科学界认为，金星上大气的逃逸，是造成金星上缺水而被富含二氧化碳的稠密大气所笼罩，从而导致严重的温室效应的原因。[44] 木星是离 从经济上崩溃中国，从政治上解体中国，是美国特朗普的任务。从现在的表现来看，美国为首的殖民资本对特朗普的表现是满意的。2019年9月9日金融大鳄索罗斯在《华尔街日报》发布专栏文章，称特朗普的对华政策非常正确，代表的是美国资本集团的意见。索罗斯声称：“作为开放社会基金会的创始人，我对打败当下中国的兴趣，超过了对美国的国家利益的关心。”这是向美国为首的西方资本界传达的战斗檄文，美国即将对中国发动金融总决战。2020年，特朗普大概率将连任美国总统，因为美国殖民资本集团认为特朗普攻击中国很有效。特朗普需要在对中国连续的金融攻击中，来赢得资本支持；需要在持续制造中美紧张关系的氛围中，来阻止竞争者，甚至不惜于宣布进入紧急状态；2020年11月特朗普一旦连任总统，作为连任的第一把火，就是向中国发动金融总攻击，来成就他作为美国历史上最伟大总统的梦想。在中美金融战关键时刻，美国并不会因为中国的妥协，而停止对中国的金融攻击，采纳自由派妥协的主张，则必定走向失败；摒弃自由派妥协主张，坚决应战，敢于斗争、善于斗争则必定走向胜利。从现在开始的每一天，中美之间的金融高能战将愈演愈烈，我们都将见证2020年这一场旷世的中美金融总决战。 二、粮食战是发动金融战的先导 2019年上半年炒作水果价格，下半年炒作猪肉价格，其它多种食材如禽蛋等价格也随之上升，暴露了中国农产品价格控制权已经旁落；2019年，是农产品价格战的预演，2020年必然发动粮食战争。中国对进口转基因粮食的依赖度已经超过了20%，对进口转基因大豆油的依赖已经超过了70%；国内的粮油市场流通、粮食种子、农田、期货等，殖民资本已经大举进入控制；殖民资本已经具备了对中国突然发动粮食战的基本条件，只要声称粮食减产，粮价就会上升。2020年，美国为首的殖民资本将对中国发动金融总决战，配合金融战，必定先发动粮食战。粮食战争，是金融战争的先导。由粮食价格上升，传导至物价恶性上涨，人民币恶性贬值；然后，金融崩溃，企业倒闭；再然后民不聊生，社会动乱，颜色革命爆发，港独、台独、疆独等独立势力乘机作乱。这是从金融战到政治战的一个定式，是殖民资本在中国重演俄罗斯休克疗法与前苏联解体的既定目标。而这皆由粮食不足引发，可见粮食安全乃是金融安全、社会安全的前提保障；而轮13中美贸谈，协议订购400~500亿美元美国转基因农产品，是给敌人输送弹药，却自残中国农业，将使中国在金融战中处于十分被动的境地；订购400~500亿美元美国转基因农产品协议，这既不是市场行为，又不是对中国有利的行为。管仲是金融战、粮食战的鼻祖，桑弘羊是国家管理经济支持国家战争时期财政的典范。当下，中美金融战、粮食战开打之际，学习管仲的轻重、准平，以及桑弘羊的平准、均输、专营，汲取古经济学智慧，有利于克服中国粮食危机，打赢中美金融战。 三、汇率的剑柄必须握在中国人自己的手里 中美贸谈的实质是打纸仗，美国最核心的目标是给中国安装金融战氢弹，这个氢弹就是“汇率自由化”；“透明和自由的货币兑换市场协议”就是做实汇率自由化，是单向交出金融主权和单向撤掉最后的金融安全防火墙。中国已经全方位、全领域、市场化、自由化、单向开放中国金融行业，外资金融机构可以到中国开展包括人民币业务的一切金融业务，可以独资设立、参股、控股中国一切类型金融业务公司；再加上“透明和自由的货币兑换市场协议”。那么外资金融机构，在中国将无所不能，金融大鳄在中国制造金融海啸将没有任何障碍。这是非常恐怖的，一旦“透明和自由的货币兑换市场协议”签署，中国要化解金融崩溃将变得十分困难。1991年俄罗斯休克疗法实行汇率市场化，引爆俄罗斯的金融大崩溃；1997年7月2日，泰国宣布实行浮动汇率制，引发东南亚的金融风暴。可以预见，一旦“透明和自由的货币兑换市场协议”签署，美欧金融大鳄不会给中国多长时间的调整和适应，金融总攻击将随之发动，中国的第一波金融海啸就会被引爆；“透明和自由的货币兑换市场协议”一旦签署，中国毁灭性创新将重演俄罗斯休克疗法的金融大崩溃，而且还要惨烈100倍。透明和自由的货币兑换市场协议，是一个完全单向的协议，美国并没有承诺要给予中国对等的开放美国金融市场和给予中国对等的货币兑换自由。太阳第五颗行星，而且是最大的一颗，比所有其他的行星 木星及其卫星欧罗巴（木卫二） 木星及其卫星欧罗巴（木卫二） [45] 的合质量大2倍（地球的318倍），直径142987km。它是气态行星没有实体表面，由90%的氢和10%的氦（原子数之比, 75/25%的质量比）及微量的甲烷、水、氨水和“石头”组成。这与形成整个太阳系的原始的太阳系星云的组成十分相似。木星可能有一个石质的内核，相当于10－15个地球的质量。内核上则是大部分的行星物质集结地，以液态氢的形式存在。液态金属氢由离子化的质子与电子组成（类似于太阳的内部，不过温度低多了）。木星共有67颗木卫。按距离木星中心由近及远的次序为：木卫十六、木卫十四、木卫五、木卫十五、木卫一、木卫二、木卫三、木卫四、木卫十三、木卫六、木卫十、木卫七、木卫十二、木卫十一、木卫八和木卫九。[46] 水星是最接近太阳的行星。水星的半径约为2440公里，在八大行星中是最小的。水星昼夜温差极大，白天摄氏 430 度，晚上约可达零下170 度，是太阳系八大行星中温差最大的一个行星。[47]  水星的外大气层非常稀薄，是由水星表面和太阳风中的原子和离子构成。[48]  科学家确认水星表面含有丰富的碳，认为碳是水星表面呈黑色的原因，水星表面的岩石是由低重量百分比的石墨碳构成。[49] “好奇号”火星探测器在火星表面采集样本 “好奇号”火星探测器在火星表面采集样本 [50] 火星是地球的近邻，是太阳系由内往外数第四颗行星。直径6794km，体积为地球的15%，质量为地球的11%。火星表面是一个荒凉的世界，空气中二氧化碳占了95%。火星大气十分稀薄，密度还不到地球大气的1%，因而根本无法保存热量。这导致火星表面温度极低，很少超过0℃，在夜晚，最低温度则可达到-123℃。火星被称为红色的行星，这是因为它表面布满了氧化物，因而呈现出铁锈红色。其表面的大部分地区都是含有大量的红色氧化物的大沙漠，还有赭色的砾石地和凝固的熔岩流。火星上常常有猛烈的大风，大风扬起沙尘能形成可以覆盖火星全球的特大型沙尘暴。每次沙尘暴可持续数个星期。火星两极的冰冠和火星大气中含有水份。从火星表面获得的探测数据证明，在远古时期，火星曾经有过液态的水，而且水量特别大。[51] 土星是离太阳第六颗行星，直径120536㎞，体积仅次于木星。主要由氢组成，还有少量的氦与微量元素，内部的核心包括岩石和冰，外围由数层金属氢和气体包裹着。地球距离土星13亿公里。土星的引力比地球强2.5倍，能够牵引太阳系内其它行星，使地球处于一个椭圆轨道中运行，并且与太阳保持适当距离，适宜生命繁衍。当土星轨道倾斜20度将使地球轨道比金星轨道更接近太阳，同时，这将导致火星完全离开太阳系。[52]  土星是已知唯一密度小于水的行星，假如能够将土星放入一个巨大的浴池之中，它将可以漂浮起来。土星有一个巨大的磁气圈和一个狂风肆虐的大气层，赤道附近的风速可达1800千米/时。在环绕土星运行的31颗卫星中间，土卫六是最大的一颗，比水星和月球还大，也是太阳系中唯一拥有浓厚大气层的卫星。[53] 天王星是离太阳第七颗行星，51118km。体积约为地球的65倍，在九大行星中仅次于木星和土星。天王星的大气层中83%是氢，15%为氦，2%为甲烷以及少量的乙炔和碳氢化合物。上层大气层的甲烷吸收红光，使天王星呈现蓝绿色。大气在固定纬度集结成云层，类似于木星和土星在纬线上鲜艳的条状色带。天王星云层的平均温度为零下193摄氏度。质量为8.6810±13×10²⁵kg，相当于地球质量的14.63倍。密度较小，只有1.24克/立方厘米，为海王星密度值的74.7%。[54] 恒星 恒阳系最强烈的风，测量到的时速高达2100公里。海王星云顶的温度是－218 °C，是太阳系最冷的地区之一。海王星核心的温度约为7000 °C，可以和太阳的表面比较。海王星在1846年9月23日被发现，是唯一利用数学预测而非有计划的观测发现的行星。[56] 冥王星，位于海王星以外的柯伊伯带内侧，是柯伊伯带中已知的最大天体。[57]  直径约为2370±20km，是地球直径的18.5%。[58]  2006年8月24日，国际天文学联合会大会24日投票决定，不再将传统九大行星之一的冥王星视为行星，而将其列入“矮行星”。大会通过的决议规定，“行星”指的是围绕太阳运转、自身引力足以克服其刚体力而使天体呈圆球状、能够清除其轨道附近其他物体的天体。在太阳系传统的“九大行星”中，只有水星、金星、地球、火星、木星、土星、天王星和海王星符合这些要求。冥王星由于其轨道与海王星的轨道相交，不符合新的行星定义，因此被自动降级为“矮行星”。[59]  冥王星的表面温度大概在-238到-228℃之间。冥王星的成份由70%岩石和30%冰水混合而成的。地表上光亮的部分可能覆盖着一些固体氮以及少量 卫星拍月球经过地球，可见清晰月球背面 卫星拍月球经过地球，可见清晰月球背面 [60] 的固体甲烷和一氧化碳，冥王星表面的黑暗部分可能是一些基本的有机物质或是由宇宙射线引发的光化学反应。冥王星的大气层主要由氮和少量的一氧化碳及甲烷组成。大气极其稀薄，地面压强只有少量微帕。[61] 地球是离太阳第三颗行星，是我们人类的家乡，尽管地球是太阳系中一颗普通的行星，但它在许多方面都是独一无二的。比如，它是太阳系中唯一一颗面积大部分被水覆盖的行星，也是目前所知唯一一颗有生命存在的星球。质量M=5.9742 ×10^24 公斤，表面温度：t = - 30 ～ +45。[62]  英国科研人员在《天体生物学》杂志上报告说，如果没有小行星撞击等可能剧烈改变环境的事件发生，地球适宜人类居住的时间还剩约17.5亿年，不过人为造成的气候变化可能缩短这一时间。[63] 彗星是由灰尘和冰块组成的太阳系中的一类小天体，绕日运动。[64]  科学家使用探测器对彗星的化学遗留物进行分析，发现其主要成份为氨、甲烷、硫化氢、氰化氢和甲醛。科学家得出结论称，彗星的气味闻起来像是臭鸡蛋、马尿、酒精和苦杏仁的气味综合。[65-66] “67P/楚留莫夫-格拉希门克”彗星 “67P/楚留莫夫-格拉希门克”彗星 [67] 在太阳系的周围还包裹着一个庞大的“奥尔特云”。星云内分布着不计其数的冰块、雪团和碎石。其中的某些会受太阳引力影响飞入内太阳系，这学说，在原有的轨道（或称小天体轨道）上又增加了更多的天体运行轨道。这一模式称每颗行星都沿着一个小轨道作圆周运行，而小轨道又沿着该行星的大轨道绕地球作圆周运动。几百年之后，这一模式的漏洞越来越明显。科学家们又在这个模式上增加了许多轨道，行星就这样沿着一道又一道的轨道作圆周运动。哥白尼想用“现代”（16世纪的）技术来改进托勒密的测量结果，以期取消一些小轨道。在长达近20年的时间里，哥白尼不辞辛劳日夜测量行星的位置，但其测量获得的结果仍然与托勒密的天体运行模式没有多少差别。哥白尼想知道在另一个运行着的行星上观察这些行星的运行情况会是什么样的。基于这种设想，哥白尼萌发了一个念头：假如地球在运行中，那么这些行星的运行看上去会是什么情况呢？这一设想在他脑海里变得清晰起来了。一年里，哥白尼在不同的时间、不同的距离从地球上观察行星，每一个行星的情况都不相同，这是他意识到地球不可能位于星星轨道的中心。经过20年的观测，哥白尼发现唯独太阳的周年变化不明显。这意味着地球和太阳的距离始终没有改变。如果地球不是宇宙的中心，那么宇宙的中心就是太阳。的发现才使牛顿有能力确定运动定律和万有引力定律。哥白尼的日心宇宙体系既然是时代的产物，它就不能不受到时代的限制。反对神学的不彻底性，同时表现在哥白尼的某些观点上，他的体系是存在缺陷的。哥白尼所指的宇宙是局限在一个小的范围内的，具体来说，他的宇宙结构就是今天我们所熟知的太阳系，即以太阳为中心的天体系统。宇宙既然有它的中心，就必须有它的边界，哥白尼虽然否定了托勒玫的“九重天”，但他却保留了一层恒星天，尽管他回避了宇宙是否有限这个问题，但实际上他是相信恒星天球是宇宙的“外壳”，他仍然相信天体只能按照所谓完美的圆形轨道运动，所以哥白尼的宇宙体系，仍然包含着不动的中心天体。但是作为近代自然科学的奠基人，哥白尼的历史功绩是伟大的。确认地球不是宇宙的中心，而是行星之一，从而掀起了一场天文学上根本性的革命，是人类探求客观真理道路上的里程碑。哥白尼的伟大成就，不仅铺平了通向近代天文学的道路，而且开创了整个自然界科学向前迈进的新时代。从哥白尼时代起，脱离教会束缚的自然科学和哲学开始获得飞跃的发展。哥白尼的科学成就，是他所处时代的产物，又转过来推动了时代的发展。顺应时代变化 十五、六世纪的欧洲，正是从封建社会向资本主义社会转变的关键时期，在这一二百年间，社会发生了巨大的变化。14世纪以前的欧洲，到处是四分五裂的小城邦。后来，随着城市工商业的兴起，特别是采矿和冶金业的发展，涌现了许多新兴的大城市，小城邦有了联合起来组成国家的趋势。到 15世纪末叶，在许多国家里都出现了基本上是中央集权的君主政体。当时的波兰不仅有像克拉科夫、波兹南这样的大城市，也有许多手工业兴盛的城市。1526年归并于波兰的华沙已成为一个重要的商业、政治、文化和地理的中心，在16世纪末成了波兰国家的首都。与这种政治经济变革相适应，文化、科学上也开始有所反映。当时，欧洲是“政教合一”，罗马教廷控制了许多国家，圣经被宣布为至高无上的真理，凡是违背圣经的学说，都被斥为“异端邪说”，凡是反对神权统治的人，都被处以火刑。新兴的资产阶级为自己的生存和发展，掀起了一场反对封建制度和教会迷信思想的斗争，出现了人文主义的思潮。他们使用的战斗武器，就是未被神学染污的古希腊的哲学、科学和文艺。这就是震撼欧洲的文艺复兴运动。文艺复兴首先发生于意大利，很快就扩大到波兰及欧洲其他国家。与此同时，商业的活跃也促进了对外贸易的发展。在“黄金”这个符咒的驱使下，许多欧洲冒险者远航非洲、印度及整个远东地区。远洋航行需要丰富的天文和地理知识，从实际中积累起来的观测资料，使人们感到当时流行的“地静天动”的宇宙学说值得怀疑，这就要求人们进一步去探索宇宙的秘密，从而推进了天文学和地理学的发展。1492年，意大利著名的航海家哥伦布发现新大陆，麦哲伦和他的同伴绕地球一周，证明地球是圆形的，使人们开始真正认识地球。[4] 对他国的影响 在教会严密控制下的中世纪，也发生过轰轰烈烈的宗教革命。因为天主教的很多教义不符合圣经的教诲，而加入了太多教皇的个人意志以及各类神学家的自身成果，所以很多信徒开始质疑天主教的教义和组织，发起回归圣经的行动来。捷克的爱国主义者、布拉格大学校长扬·胡斯（1369～1415年）在君士坦丁堡的宗教会议上公开谴责德意志封建主与天主教会对捷克的压迫和剥削。他虽然被反动教会处以火刑，但他的革命活动在社会上引起了强烈的反应。捷克农民在胡斯党人的

 

        5、医疗系统能力

 

        对于医院而言，通常的接诊量都不多，尤其对于突发传染病，根本不会进行提前准备；再加上西方都是私人医院，恐怕没几所医院，会愿意接收传染病人；

 

        另外， 由于私人性质，也不大可能调集各地的医生，去支援某一地区；像武汉，前期病床急缺，若不是紧急建造火雷两山医院，以及大量的方舱医院，恐怕就算医院愿意接收，也没有那么多的病床；

 

 

        此外，从当前的统计数字看，湖北医护人员有3000多人被感染，约占医护人员总数的10%；如此高的感染率，将进一步吃掉，本以捉襟见肘的医疗资源，很快就会瘫痪整个医疗系统；

 

       还有，在资本主义国家，人们都是精致的利己主义者，绝不会逆向而行、舍己救人；像韩国，已经爆出浦项医院，16名护士集体辞职的新闻；还有之前香港，部分医护人员，也出现罢工的情况；

 

       6、各国政府的能力

 

       就算是民众愿意救治、医院愿意接收、政府也愿意行动；但是，高昂的诊疗费用，必须要政府伸出援手；可是，大规模的救助资金从何而来？要知道，西方国家通常都是负债状态；像日本负债210%，美国负债110%，意大利负债134%，法国负债97.6%，韩国负债93.8%；如此高的负债率，政府都要揭不开锅了，哪里还有资金去救人？

 

 

        另外，就算政府没钱，已经不打算救人了，只是想简单地，把他们进行隔离；但问题是，隔离后大量的民生物资，又从何而来？大规模的物资统筹，以及交通运输调度，还有物资如何分发，短短两周时间，皿煮制度能搞得定？恐怕给2个月也搞不定吧；

       

       7、国际的救助

 

       在疫情迅速扩散的情况下，本国政府搞不定，那只能想办法，寻求国际力量救援；但问题是，去找哪个国家呢？目前，全球主要国家，全都有疫情爆发，真正有救援能力的，恐怕只有中国；但是，全球这么多国家，中国哪里救得过来；

 

        此外，中国的疫情虽然缓解，但并没有结束，还有3万多人需要救治；而且目前也发现了、新的传入病例；因此，家家都有本难念的经；短时间内，恐怕也不可能，得到有力的外援；

 

 

         通过上述简单的分析，我们完全可以肯定，新冠疫情，在国外已经失控；对于失控后，所通报数字，谁信谁就傻了；因为，前期的韩国、伊朗、意大利等国，还是比较公开透明的；但是，一旦当局势失控，以西方国家的尿性，一定会在数字上做手脚；

 

         比如，目前的日本，就在掩耳盗铃，不做检测就不会确诊，人为来压低确诊病例；比如美国，加州和华盛顿州，都出现发病患者，但还出现被疾控中心，拒绝检测的情况，而且下令一切有关疫情信息，都必须经彭斯批准后才能发布，明显就是准备大玩数字游戏；再比如意大利，由于感染人数暴增，其已经修改诊断标准，将轻症病例，不纳入确诊报告之中；

 

         如此奇葩的各国政府，因无力控制疫情，而坐视病毒扩散；这必将造成，大规模的人口感染，并将给全球带来，“世界末日” 般的巨大灾难；

 

 

        第一，大规模的人口感染和伤亡

 

         先来看发达国家；由于发达国家，城市化程度比较高，因此，极易造成病毒的快速传播；东亚的日韩两国，按照目前状态，已经处于失控状态，韩国甚至已经预测，最坏情况，将会有40%的国民感染；

 

         欧洲的意大利已经失控，周边的德国、法国、西班牙、英国、瑞士等国，病例已经大幅增加，而且几乎整个欧洲，全部出现了感染病例；由于欧洲各国签署了《申根协定》，人们可以自由地穿梭；再加上到处乱窜的，近300万难民，他们将一同把病毒，带到欧洲的每一个角落；

169. Don't let yesterday use up too much of today. 别留念昨天了，把握好今天吧。(Will Rogers) 170. If you are not brave enough, no one will back you up. 你不勇敢，没人替你坚强。171. If you don't build your dream, someone will hire you to build theirs. 如果你没有梦想，那么你只能为别人的梦想打工。172. Beauty is all around, if you just open your heart to see. 只要你给自己机会，你会发现你的世界可以很美丽。173. The difference in winning and losing is most often...not quitting. 赢与输的差别通常是--不放弃。(华特·迪士尼) 174. I am ordinary yet unique. 我很平凡，但我独一无二。175. I like people who make me laugh in spite of myself. 我喜欢那些让我笑起来的人，就算是我不想笑的时候。176. Image a new story for your life and start living it. 为你的生命想一个全新剧本，并去倾情出演吧！177. I'd rather be a happy fool than a sad sage. 做个悲伤的智者，不如做个开心的傻子。178. The future belongs to those who believe in the beauty of their dreams. 未来属于那些相信梦想之美的人。(埃莉诺·罗斯福) 179. Even if you get no applause, you should accept a curtain call gracefully and appreciate your own efforts. 即使没有人为你鼓掌，也要优雅的谢幕，感谢自己的认真付出。180. Don't let dream just be your dream. 别让梦想只停留在梦里。181. A day without laughter is a day wasted. 没有笑声的一天是浪费了的一天。(卓别林) 182. Travel and see the world; afterwards, you will be able to put your concerns in perspective. 去旅行吧，见的世面多了，你会发现原来在意的那些结根本算不了什么。183. The key to acquiring proficiency in any task is repetition. 任何事情成功关键都是熟能生巧。《生活大爆炸》 184. You can be happy no matter what. 开心一点吧，管它会怎样。185. A good plan today is better than a perfect plan tomorrow. 今天的好计划胜过明天的完美计划。186. Nothing is impossible, the word itself says 'I'm possible'! 一切皆有可能！“不可能”的意思是：“不，可能。”(奥黛丽·赫本) 187. Life isn't fair, but no matter your circumstances, you have to give it your all. 生活是不公平的，不管你的境遇如何，你只能全力以赴。188. No matter how hard it is, just keep going because you only fail when you give up. 无论多么艰难，都要继续前进，因为只有你放弃的那一刻，你才输了。     When Paul Jobs was mustered out of the Coast Guard after World War II, he made a wager with his crewmates. They had arrived in San Francisco, where their ship was decommissioned, and Paul bet that he would find himself a wife within two weeks. He was a taut, tattooed engine mechanic, six feet tall, with a passing resemblance to James Dean. But it wasn’t his looks that got him a date with Clara Hagopian, a sweet-humored daughter of Armenian immigrants. It was the fact that he and his friends had a car, unlike the group she had originally planned to go out with that evening. Ten days later, in March 1946, Paul got engaged to Clara and won his wager. It would turn out to be a happy marriage, one that lasted until death parted them more than forty years later. Paul Reinhold Jobs had been raised on a dairy farm in Germantown, Wisconsin. Even though his father was an alcoholic and sometimes abusive, Paul ended up with a gentle and calm disposition under his leathery exterior. After dropping out of high school, he wandered through the Midwest picking up work as a mechanic until, at age nineteen, he joined the Coast Guard, even though he didn’t know how to swim. He was deployed on the USS General M. C. Meigs and spent much of the war ferrying troops to Italy for General Patton. His talent as a machinist and fireman earned him commendations, but he occasionally found himself in minor trouble and never rose above the rank of seaman. Clara was born in New Jersey, where her parents had landed after fleeing the Turks in Armenia, and they moved to the Mission District of San Francisco when she was a child. She had a secret that she rarely mentioned to anyone: She had been married before, but her husband had been killed in the war. So when she met Paul Jobs on that first date, she was primed to start a new life. Clara, however, loved San Francisco, and in 1952 she convinced her husband to move back there. They got an apartment in the Sunset District facing the Pacific, just south of Golden Gate Park, and he took a job working for a finance company as a “repo man,” picking the locks of cars whose owners hadn’t paid their loans and repossessing them. He also bought, repaired, and sold some of the cars, making a decent enough living in the process. There was, however, something missing in their lives. They wanted children, but Clara had suffered an ectopic pregnancy, in which the fertilized egg was implanted in a fallopian tube rather than the uterus, and she had been unable to have any. So by 1955, after nine years of marriage, they were looking to adopt a child. Like Paul Jobs, Joanne Schieble was from a rural Wisconsin family of German heritage. Her father, Arthur Schieble, had immigrated to the outskirts of Green Bay, where he and his wife owned a mink farm and dabbled successfully in various other businesses, including real estate and photoengraving. He was very strict, especially regarding his daughter’s relationships, and he had strongly disapproved of her first love, an artist who was not a Catholic. Thus it was no surprise that he threatened to cut Joanne off completely when, as a graduate student at the University of Wisconsin, she fell in love with Abdulfattah “John” Jandali, a Muslim teaching assistant from Syria. Jandali was the youngest of nine children in a prominent Syrian family. His father owned oil refineries and multiple other businesses, with large holdings in Damascus and Homs, and at one point pretty much controlled the price of wheat in the region. His mothe凝固的熔岩流。火星上常常有猛烈的大风，大风扬起沙尘能形成可以覆盖火星全球的特大型沙尘暴。每次沙尘暴可持续数个星期。火星两极的冰冠和火星大气中含有水份。从火星表面获得的探测数据证明，在远古时期，火星曾经有过液态的水，而且水量特别大。[51] 土星是离太阳第六颗行星，直径120536㎞，体积仅次于木星。主要由氢组成，还有少量的氦与微量元素，内部的核心包括岩石和冰，外围由数层金属氢和气体包裹着。地球距离土星13亿公里。土星的引力比地球强2.5倍，能够牵引太阳系内其它行星，使地球处于一个椭圆轨道中运行，并且与太阳保持适当距离，适宜生命繁衍。当土星轨道倾斜20度将使地球轨道比金星轨道更接近太阳，同时，这将导致火星完全离开太阳系。[52]  土星是已知唯一密度小于水的行星，假如能够将土星放入一个巨大的浴池之中，它将可以漂浮起来。土星有一个巨大的磁气圈和一个狂风肆虐的大气层，赤道附近的风速可达1800千米/时。在环绕土星运行的31颗卫星中间，土卫六是最大的一颗，比水星和月球还大，也是太阳系中唯一拥有浓厚大气层的卫星。[53] 天王星是离太阳第七颗行星，51118km。体积约为地球的65倍，在九大行星中仅次于木星和土星。天王星的大气层中83%是氢，15%为氦，2%为甲烷以及少量的乙炔和碳氢化合物。上层大气层的甲烷吸收红光，使天王星呈现蓝绿色。大气在固定纬度集结成云层，类似于木星和土星在纬线上鲜艳的条状色带。天王星云层的平均温度为零下193摄氏度。质量为8.6810±13×10²⁵kg，相当于地球质量的14.63倍。密度较小，只有1.24克/立方厘米，为海王星密度值的74.7%。[54] 恒星 恒星 海王星是离太阳的第八颗行星，直径49532千米。海王星绕太阳运转的轨道半径为45亿千米，公转一周需要165年。海王星的直径和天王星类似，质量比天王星略大一些。海王星和天王星的主要大气成分都是氢和氦，内部结构也极为相近，所以说海王星与天王星是一对孪生兄弟。[55]  海王星有太阳系最强烈的风，测量到的时速高达2100公里。海王星云顶的温度是－218 °C，是太阳系最冷的地区之一。海王星核心的温度约为7000 °C，可以和太阳的表面比较。海王星在1846年9月23日被发现，是唯一利用数学预测而非有计划的观测发现的行星。[56] 冥王星，位于海王星以外的柯伊伯带内侧，是柯伊伯带中已知的最大天体。[57]  直径约为2370±20km，是地球直径的18.5%。[58]  2006年8月24日，国际天文学联合会大会24日投票决定，不再将传统九大行星之一的冥王星视为行星，而将其列入“矮行星”。大会通过的决议规定，“行星”指的是围绕太阳运转、自身引力足以克服其刚体力而使天体呈圆球状、能够清除其轨道附近其他物体的天体。在太阳系传统的“九大行星”中，只有水星、金星、地球、火星、木星、土星、天王星和海王星符合这些要求。冥王星由于其轨道与海王星的轨道相交，不符合新的行星定义，因此被自动降级为“矮行星”。[59]  冥王星的表面温度大概在-238到-228℃之间。冥王星的成份由70%岩石和30%冰水混合而成的。地表上光亮的部分可能覆盖着一些固体氮以及少量 卫星拍月球经过地球，可见清晰月球背面 卫星拍月球经过地球，可见清晰月球背面 [60] 的固体甲烷和一氧化碳，冥王星表面的黑暗部分可能是一些基本的有机物质或是由宇宙射线引发的光化学反应。冥王星的大气层主要由氮和少量的一氧化碳及甲烷组成。大气极其稀薄，地面压强只有少量微帕。[61] 地球是离太阳第三颗行星，是我们人类的家乡，尽管地球是太阳系中一颗普通的行星，但它在许多方面都是独一无二的。比如，它是太阳系中唯一一颗面积大部分被水覆盖的行星，也是目前所知唯一一颗有生命存在的星球。质量M=5.9742 ×10^24 公斤，表面温度：t = - 30 ～ +45。[62]  英国科研人员在《天体生物学》杂志上报告说，如果没有小行星撞击等可能剧烈改变环境的事件发生，地球适宜人类居住的时间还剩约17.5亿年，不过人为造成的气候变化可能缩短这一时间。[63] 彗星是由灰尘和冰块组成的太阳系中的一类小天体，绕日运动。[64]  科学家使用探测器对彗星的化学遗留物进行分析，发现其主要成份为氨、甲烷、硫化氢、氰化氢和甲醛。科学家得出结论称，彗星的气味闻起来像是臭鸡蛋、马尿、酒精和苦杏仁的气味综合。[65-66] “67P/楚留莫夫-格拉希门克”彗星 “67P/楚留莫夫-格拉希门克”彗星 [67] 在太阳系的周围还包裹着一个庞大的“奥尔特云”。星云内分布着不计其数的冰块、雪团和碎石。其中的某些会受太阳引力影响飞入内太阳系，这学说，在原有的轨道（或称小天体轨道）上又增加了更多的天体运行轨道。这一模式称每颗行星都沿着一个小轨道作圆周运行，而小轨道又沿着该行星的大轨道绕地球作圆周运动。几百年之后，这一模式的漏洞越来越明显。科学家们又在这个模式上增加了许多轨道，行星就这样沿着一道又一道的轨道作圆周运动。哥白尼想用“现代”（16世纪的）技术来改进托勒密的测量结果，以期取消一些小轨道。在长达近20年的时间里，哥白尼不辞辛劳日夜测量行星的位置，但其测量获得的结果仍然与托勒密的天体运行模式没有多少差别。哥白尼想知道在另一个运行着的行星上观察这些行星的运行情况会是什么样的。基于这种设想，哥白尼萌发了一个念头：假如地球在运行中，那么这些行星的运行看上去会是什么情况呢？这一设想在他脑海里变得清晰起来了。一年里，哥白尼在不同的时间、不同的距离从地球上观察行星，每一个行星的情况都不相同，这是他意识到地球不可能位于星星轨道的中心。经过20年的观测，哥白尼发现唯独太阳的周年变化不明显。这意味着地球和太阳的距离始终没有改变。如果地球不是宇宙的中心，那么宇宙的中心就是太阳。的发现才使牛顿有能力确定运动定律和万有引力定律。哥白尼的日心宇宙体系既然是时代的产物，它就不能不受到时代的限制。反对神学的不彻底性，同时表现在哥白尼的某些观点上，他的体系是存在缺陷的。哥白尼所指的宇宙是局限在一个小的范围内的，具体来说，他的宇宙结构就是今天我们所熟知的太阳系，即以太阳为中心的天体系统。宇宙既然有它的中心，就必须有它的边界，哥白尼虽然否定了托勒玫的“九重天”，但他却保留了一层恒星天，尽管他回避了宇宙是否有限这个问题，但实际上他是相信恒星天球是宇宙的“外壳”，他仍然相信天体只能按照所谓完美的圆形轨道运动，所以哥白尼的宇宙体系，仍然包含着不动的中心天体。但是作为近代自然科学的奠基人，哥白尼的历史功绩是伟大的。确认地球不是宇宙的中心，而是行星之一，从而掀起了一场天文学上根本性的革命，是人类探求客观真理道路上的里程碑。哥白尼的伟大成就，不仅铺平了通向近代天文学的道路，而且开创了整个自然界科学向前迈进的新时代。从哥白尼时代起，脱离教会束缚的自然科学和哲学开始获得飞跃的发展。哥白尼的科学成就，是他所处时代的产物，又转过来推动了时代的发展。顺应时代变化 十五、六世纪的欧洲，正是从封建社会向资本主义社会转变的关键时期，在这一二百年间，社会发生了巨大的变化。14世纪ndali soon after. She held out hope, she would later tell family members, sometimes tearing up at the memory, that once they were married, she could get their 别让梦想只停留在梦里。181. A day without laughter is a day wasted. 没有笑声的一天是浪费了的一天。(卓别林) 182. Travel and see the world; afterwards, you will be able to put your concerns in perspective. 去旅行吧，见的世面多了，你会发现原来在意的那些结根本算不了什么。183. The key to acquiring proficiency in any task is repetition. 任何事情成功关键都是熟能生巧。《生活大爆炸》 184. You can be happy no matter what. 开心一点吧，管它会怎样。baby boy back. Arthur Schieble died in August 1955, after the adoption was finalized. Just after Christmas that year, Joanne and Abdulfattah were married in St. Philip the Apostle Catholic Church in Green Bay. He got his PhD in international politics the next year, and then they had another child, a girl named Mona. After she and Jandali divorced in 1962, Joanne embarked on a dreamy and peripatetic life that her daughter, who grew up to become the acclaimed novelist Mona Simpson, would capture in her book Anywhere but Here. Because Steve’s adoption had been closed, it would be twenty years before they would all find each other. Steve Jobs knew from an early age that he was adopted. “My parents were very open with me about that,” he recalled. He had a vivid memory of sitting on the lawn of his house, when he was six or seven years old, telling the girl who lived across the street. “So does that mean your real parents didn’t want you?” the girl asked. “Lightning bolts went off in my head,” according to Jobs. “I remember running into the house, crying. And my parents said, ‘No, you have to understand.’ They were very serious and looked me straight in the eye. They said, ‘We specifically picked you out.’ Both of my parents said that and repeated it slowly for me. And they put an emphasis on every word in that sentence.” Abandoned. Chosen. Special. Those concepts became part of who Jobs was and how he regarded himself. His closest friends think that the knowledge that he was given up at birth left some scars. “I think his desire for complete control of whatever he makes derives directly from his personality and the fact that he was abandoned at birth,” said one longtime colleague, Del Yocam. “He wants to control his environment, and he sees the product as an extension of himself.” Greg Calhoun, who became close to Jobs right after college, saw another effect. “Steve talked to me a lot about being abandoned and the pain that caused,” he said. “It made him independent. He followed the beat of a different drummer, and that came from being in a different world than he was born into.” Later in life, when he was the same age his biological father had been when he abandoned him, Jobs would father and abandon a child of his own. (He eventually took responsibility for her.) Chrisann Brennan, the mother of that child, said that being put up for adoption left Jobs “full of broken glass,” and it helps to explain some of his behavior. “He who is abandoned is an abandoner,” she said. Andy Hertzfeld, who worked with Jobs at Apple in the early 1980s, is among the few who remained close to both Brennan and Jobs. “The key question about Steve is why he can’t control himself at times from being so reflexively cruel and harmful to some people,” he said. “That goes back to being abandoned at birth. The real underlying problem was the theme of abandonment in Steve’s life.” Jobs dismissed this. “There’s some notion that because I was abandoned, I worked very hard so I could do well and make my parents wish they had me back, or some such nonsense, but that’s ridiculous,” he insisted. “Knowing I was adopted may have made me feel more independent, but I have never felt abandoned. I’ve always felt special. My parents made me feel special.” He would later bristle whenever anyone referred to Paul and Clara Jobs as his “adoptive” parents or implied that they were not his “real” parents. “They were my parents 1,000%,” he said. When speaking about his biological parents, on the other hand, he was curt: “They were my sperm and egg bank. That’s not harsh, it’s just the way it was, a sperm bank thing, nothing more.” Silicon Valley The childhood that Paul and Clara Jobs created for their new son was, in many ways, a stereotype of the late 1950s. When Steve was two they adopted a girl they named Patty, and three years later they moved to a tract house in the suburbs. The finance company where Paul worked as a repo man, CIT, had transferred him down to its Palo Alto office, but he could not afford to live there, so they landed in a subdivision in Mountain View, a less expensive town just to the south. There Paul tried to pass along his love of mechanics and cars. “Steve, this is your workbench now,” he said as he marked off a section of the table in their garage. Jobs remembered being impressed by his father’s focus on craftsmanship. “I thought my dad’s sense of design was pretty good,” he said, “because he knew how to build anything. If we needed a cabinet, he would build it. When he built our fence, he gave me a hammer so I could work with him.” Fifty years later the fence still surrounds the back and side yards of the house in Mountain View. As Jobs showed it off to me, he caressed the stockade panels and recalled a lesson that his father implanted deeply in him. It was important, his father said, to craft the backs of cabinets and fences properly, even though they were hidden. “He loved doing things right. He even cared about the look of the parts you couldn’t see.” His father continued to refurbish and resell used cars, and he festooned the garage with pictures of his favorites. He would point out the detailing of the design to his son: the lines, the vents, the chrome, the trim of the seats. After work each day, he would change into his dungarees and retreat to the garage, often with Steve tagging along. “I figured I could get him nailed down with a little mechanical ability, but he really wasn’t interested in getting his hands dirty,” Paul later recalled. “He never really cared too much about m189. It requires hard work to give off an appearance of effortlessness. 你必须十分努力，才能看起来毫不费力。190. Life is like riding a bicycle.To keep your balance,you must keep moving. 人生就像骑单车，只有不断前进，才能保持平衡。(爱因斯坦) 191. Be thankful for what you have.You'll end up having more. 拥有一颗感恩的心，最终你会得到更多。192. Beauty is how you feel inside, and it reflects in your eyes. 美是一种内心的感觉，并反映在你的眼睛里。(索菲亚·罗兰) 193. Friendship doubles your joys, and divides your sorrows. 朋友的作用，就是让你快乐加倍，痛苦减半。194. When you long for something sincerely, the whole world will help you. 当你真心渴望某样东西时，整个宇宙都会来帮忙。echanical things.” “I wasn’t that into fixing cars,” Jobs admitted. “But I was eager to hang out with my dad.” Even as he was growing more aware that he had been adopted, he was becoming more attached to his father. One day when he was about eight, he discovered a photograph of his father from his time in the Coast Guard. “He’s in the engine room, and he’s got his shirt off and looks like James Dean. It was one of those Oh wow moments for a kid. Wow, oooh, my parents were actually once very young and really good-looking.” Through cars, his father gave Steve his first exposure to electronics. “My dad did not have a deep understanding of electronics, but he’d encountered it a lot in automobiles and other things he would fix. He showed me the rudiments of electronics, and I got very interested in that.” Even more interesting were the trips to scavenge for parts. “Every weekend, there’d be a junkyard trip. We’d be looking for a generator, a carburetor, all sorts of components.” He remembered watching his father negotiate at the counter. “He was a good bargainer, because he knew better than the guys at the counter what the parts should cost.” This helped fulfill the pledge his parents made when he was adopted. “My college fund came from my dad paying $50 for a Ford Falcon or some other beat-up car that didn’t run, working on it for a few weeks, and selling it for $250—and not telling the IRS.” The Jobses’ house and the others in their neighborhood were built by the real estate developer Joseph Eichler, whose company spawned more than eleven thousand homes in various California subdivisions between 1950 and 1974. Inspired by Frank Lloyd Wright’s vision of simple modern homes for the American “everyman,” Eichler built inexpensive houses that featured floor-to-ceiling glass walls, open floor plans, exposed post-and-beam construction, concrete slab floors, and lots of sliding glass doors. “Eichler did a great thing,” Jobs said on one of our walks around the neighborhood. “His houses were smart and cheap and good. They brought clean design and simple taste to lower-income people. They had awesome little features, like radiant heating in the floors. You put carpet on them, and we had nice toasty floors when we were kids.” Jobs said that his appreciation for Eichler homes instilled in him a passion for making nicely designed products for the mass market. “I love it when you can bring really great design and simple capability to something that doesn’t cost much,” he said as he pointed out the clean elegance of the houses. “It was the original vision for Apple. That’s what we tried to do with the first Mac. That’s what we did with the iPod.” Across the street from the Jobs family lived a man who had become successful as a real estate agent. “He wasn’t that bright,” Jobs recalled, “but he seemed to be making a fortune. So my dad thought, ‘I can do that.’ He worked so hard, I remember. He took these night classes, passed the license test, and got into real estate. Then the bottom fell out of the market.” As a result, the family found itself financially strapped for a year or so while Steve was in elementary school. His mother took a job as a bookkeeper for Varian Associates, a company that made scientific instruments, and they took out a second mortgage. One day his fourth-grade teacher asked him, “What is it you don’t understand about the universe?” Jobs replied, “I don’t understand why all of a sudden my dad is so broke.” He was proud that his father never adopted a servile attitude or slick style that may have made him a better salesman. “You had to suck up to people to sell real estate, and he wasn’t good at that and it wasn’t in his nature. I admired him for that.” Paul Jobs went back to being a mechanic. His father was calm and gentle, traits that his son later praised more than emulated. He was also resolute. Jobs described one exampl What made the neighborhood different from the thousands of other spindly-tree subdivisions across America was that even the ne’er-do-wells tended to be engineers. “When we moved here, there were apricot and plum orchards on all of these corners,” Jobs recalled. “But it was beginning to boom because of military investment.” He soaked up the history of the valley and developed a yearning to play his own role. Edwin Land of Polaroid later told him about being asked by Eisenhower to help build the U-2 spy plane cameras to see how real the Soviet threat was. The film was dropped in canisters and returned to the NASA Ames Research Center in Sunnyvale, not far from where Jobs lived. “The first computer terminal I ever saw was when my dad brought me to the Ames Center,” he said. “I fell totally in love with it.” Other defense contractors sprouted nearby during the 1950s. The Lockheed Missiles and Space Division, which built submarine-launched ballistic missiles, was founded in 1956 next to the NASA Center; by the time Jobs moved to the area four years later, it employed twenty thousand people. A few hundred yards away, Westinghouse built facilities that produced tubes and electrical transformers for the missile systems. “You had all these military companies on the cutting edge,” he recalled. “It was mysterious and high-tech and made living here very exciting.” In the wake of the defense industries there arose a booming economy based on technology. Its roots stretched back to 1938, when David Packard and his new wife moved into a house in Palo Alto that had a shed where his friend Bill Hewlett was soon ensconced. The house had a garage—an appendage that would prove both useful and iconic in the valley—in which they tinkered around until they had their first product, an audio oscillator. By the 1950s, Hewlett-Packard was a fast-growing company making technical instruments. Fortunately there was a place nearby for entrepreneurs who had outgrown their garages. In a move that would help transform the area into the cradle of the tech revolution, Stanford University’s dean of engineering, Frederick Terman, created a seven-hundred-acre industrial park on university land for private companies that could commercialize the ideas of his students. Its first tenant was Varian Associates, where Clara Jobs worked. “Terman came up with this great idea that did more than anything to cause the tech industry to grow up here,” Jobs said. By the time Jobs was ten, HP had nine thousand employees and was the blue-chip company where every engineer seeking financial stability wanted to work. The most important technology for the region’s growth was, of course, the semiconductor. William Shockley, who had been one of the inventors of the transistor at Bell Labs in New Jersey, moved out to Mountain View and, in 1956, started a company to build transistors using silicon rather than the more expensive germanium that was then commonly used. But Shockley became increasingly erratic and abandoned his silicon transistor project, which led eight of his engineers—most notably Robert Noyce and Gordon Moore—to break away to form Fairchild Semiconductor. That company grew to twelve thousand employees, but it fragmented in 1968, when Noyce lost a power struggle to become CEO. He took Gordon Moore and founded a company that they called Integrated Electronics Corporation, which they soon smartly abbreviated to Intel. Their third employee was Andrew Grove, who later would grow the company by shifting its focus from memory chips to microprocessors. Within a few years there would be more than fifty companies in the area making semiconductors. The exponential growth of this industry was correlated with the phenomenon famously discovered by Moore, who in 1965 drew a graph of the speed of integrated circuits, based on the number of transistors that could be placed on a chip, and showed that it doubled about every two years, a trajectory that could be expected to continue. This was reaffirmed in 1971, when Intel was able to etch a complete central processing unit onto one chip, the Intel 4004, tronic amplifier. “So I raced home, and I told my dad that he was wrong.” “No, it needs an amplifier,” his father assured him. When Steve protested otherwise, his father said he was crazy. “It can’t work without an amplifier. There’s some trick.” “I kept saying no to my dad, telling him he had to see it, and finally he actually walked down with me and saw it. And he said, ‘Well I’ll be a bat out of hell.’” Jobs recalled the incident vividly because it was his first realization that his father did not know everything. Then a more disconcerting discovery began to dawn on him: He was smarter than his parents. He had always admired his father’s competence and savvy. “He was not an educated man, but I had always thought he was pretty damn smart. He didn’t read much, but he could do a lot. Almost everything mechanical, he could figure it out.” Yet the carbon microphone incident, Jobs said, began a jarring process of realizing that he was in fact more clever and quick than his parents. “It was a very big moment that’s burned into my mind. When I realized that I was smarter than my parents, I felt tremendous shame for having thought that. I will never forget that moment.” This discovery, he later told friends, along with the fact that he was adopted, made him feel apart—detached and separate—from both his family and the world. Another layer of awareness occurred soon after. Not only did he discover that he was brighter than his parents, but he discovered that they knew this. Paul and Clara Jobs were loving parents, and they were willing to adapt their lives to suit a son who was very smart—and also willful. They would go to great lengths to accommodate him. And soon Steve discovered this fact as well. “Both my parents got me. They felt a lot of responsibility once they sensed that I was special. They found ways to keep feeding me stuff and putting me in better schools. They were willing to defer to my needs.” So he grew up not only with a sense of having once been abandoned, but also with a sense that he was special. In his own mind, that was more important in the formation of his personality. School Even before Jobs started elementary school, his mother had taught him how to read. This, however, led to some problems once he got to school. “I was kind of bored for the first few years

         美国的问题似乎更加严重，由于从目前报道的情况来看，在美国2019~2020大流感中，应当已有相当比例的新冠病例；近期美国报出多例，无路径感染者，而且，疫情已经蔓延到14个州；这已充分证明，美国的感染已经失控；当前，加州和华盛顿州，已经先后宣布进入紧急状态；

 

 

         再来看发展中国家；相对于发达国家，发展中国家的医疗体系和资源，将更为匮乏、条件也更差；因此，一旦大规模感染，基本上没治；另外，由于，同样的皿煮体制，既不能高效隔离，也无财力救助，因此，感染死亡率将会很高；唯一的好处是，由于城市化程度不高，交通不便，客观上会减缓疫情蔓延；

 

          目前，伊朗的疫情最为严重，已经处于失控状态；并且作为中东地区，疫情的主要输出地，其周边的中东地区，已经有13个国家，出现病毒感染；由于该地区宗教活动频繁，很多教民，都要去清真寺礼拜；因此，病毒扩散难以避免；像伊朗的疫情，主要就是从圣城库姆扩散出去的；但即便如此，伊朗总统鲁哈尼，也还是宣布，不会封锁任何城镇；

 

 

           此外，还有南亚的印度，作为拥有10亿人口的大国，一旦疫情爆发，几乎没有任何还手之力，只能听天由命；当然还有奇葩的印尼，竟然宣称要靠祈祷，来战胜疫情；可想而知，一旦病毒袭来，这些国家将会是什么情形；反倒是，实行社会主义一党制的朝鲜、越南、老挝，情况相对还比较稳定；

 

           由于西方国家，目前还处于疫情初期，多数人还处于自我麻痹之中；一旦两周之后，很多人发病，甚至死亡人数大量出现；那么，其就会如同封城当天的武汉，大量人口必定疯狂地，向全世界出逃；其间，大量的病毒携带者，将会把病毒，播撒到全球的每一个角落；

 

          因此，全世界都将陷落，所有国家，将无一幸免；最终到底会有多少人，因感染病毒而死，我们真的不敢设想；总之，全球各地，将尸横遍野、白骨累累，将成为真正的人间地狱；直到剩余的人，彻底阻断与外界联络，坚持到疫情结束，而幸存下来；

 

 

         中国的应对之策

 

          可以设想，当国外疫情大规模扩散后，尤其是那些病毒携带者，四处逃亡，将直接导致全球各国，全部成为疫区；而只有中国，因成功消灭病毒，将成为全球，唯一的一片净土；

 

           面对这场人类浩劫，只有中国，才能担当起抗疫重任，并成为全球抗疫的中流砥柱；那么，中国该如何拯救亿万苍生，于危难之中呢？我们建议从如下几点着手：

 

         1、严守国门，坚决阻止疫情输入

 

          由于中国将成为“诺亚方舟”；因此，必定将有大量人口，拼命地要进入中国；因此，第一件事、也是最关键的一件事，就是把守好国门，关闭海陆空通道，阻断疫情传入；除经特别批准，允许必要的人员入境，其他闲杂人等，一律拒绝；

 

 

        2、立刻组建医疗快反部队

 

         再有10天左右，中国即可彻底消灭，境内的新冠病毒；之后，应立刻就地组建，中国医疗快速反应部队；将目前驻在湖北前沿，几万名医护人员，迅即转入部队编制，并统一进行整编和系统培训，为随时大规模出境作战，做好准备；同时，湖北大量的医疗物资，就地封存，随时准备调配国外，支援全球抗疫；

 

        3、中医挂帅，西医辅疗

 

           由于在国内抗疫过程中，中医药发挥了举足轻重的作用，因此，应由中医担当医疗快反部队的主力，西医提供诊断及辅助支持，尽一切可能，挽救尽可能多的生命；同时，借此次国际疫情，同步完成中医国际化进程，一举实现中医复兴；

 

 

       4、统筹国内，安排好中药材专供

 

           疫情扩散后，国外将有数以百万计的患者；由于中医治疗患者和疫情预防，都需要大量的中药材；因此，国家应立刻将中药材，列入受控战略物资；从生产、运输、加工、调配，由专门部门负责；并根据各前出医疗部队的需求，进行统一安排，保证武器弹药的充足供应；

 

       5、组建中国国际抗疫顾问团

 

           由于无论是发达国家，还是发展中国家，绝大多数没有丰富应对，大灾大难的经验；因此，中国应做好准备，随时可应各国政府的请求，向其派出顾问团，指导当地进行抗疫作战，让中国经验发挥更大作用；这个顾问团，不同于派到伊朗的医疗顾问团，而是类似于参谋部，是整个抗疫作战的指挥中枢；

 

 

       6、统筹安排国内医疗物资生产

 

        疫情全球扩散后，绝大部分国家，都将陷入一片混乱，生产秩序崩溃，医疗物资将极度紧缺，而中国，将成为全球医疗物资，最主要的生产基地；因此，国家应根据全球疫情形势，统筹安排医疗物资的生产及调配；中国将为全球抗疫，提供源源不断的弹药；

 

       7、主导建立全球抗疫联合指挥中心

 

        疫情扩散失控后，必须团结全球的力量，协调一致、共同抗疫；由于，当前只有中国具备，大规模救援能力；因此，中国应推动建立，全球抗疫统一战线；同时，中国主导建立，全球抗疫联合指挥中心，指挥全球协同抗疫作战；

 

 

         疫情究竟将发展到什么程度，我们不得而知；但是，在此过程中，中国应尽自己所能，支援全球各国抗战；尽一切可能挽救生命，展现出大国应有的担当，并充分发挥出，全球抗疫领导国的关键作用；

 

         第二，全球经济遭受重创乃至崩溃

 

          上周，美国仅仅宣布新冠病毒，可能在全美流行，就导致美股全线暴跌12%；同时，欧洲三大股指及日经指数，也应声下跌，跌幅达10%；仅仅一个负面信息，就让全球投资者，惨遭血洗，可见国际经济体系之脆弱；

 

          而在韩国，由于工厂发现确诊病例，三星、LG、现代的部分工厂，已经关闭；随着疫情，在其他国家的进一步扩散，这将导致全球的产业链条，将遭遇意想不到的、大规模破坏，从而迅速切断，全球经济的血管；

 

 

          现在美日欧这些发达国家，之所以应对疫情拖拖拉拉，甚至玩数字游戏；除了其真实的应对能力不足外，最关键的考量，就是担心影响经济发展；

 

          在他们眼里，金钱远比生命更重要；由于，多年来欧美日的经济增长，都极为乏力，大多在1~2%区间，一旦遭遇疫情打击，恐怕脆弱的社会体系，将会立刻崩溃；

 

       但是，不管他们是积极做出反应，比如韩国、意大利；还是消极地玩数字游戏，比如美国、日本，但其面临的结果都一样；只是，如积极应对的话，经济冲击来得快一些，但国民付出的生命代价小一些；而如果消极应对的话，则经济冲击来得慢一些，但国民的伤亡代价，将会大很多；

 

        即便那些，希望死保经济的国家，最多也就晚几周时间而已；当社区、工厂、商场、机场等很多地方，都出现大量的发病患者，甚至出现众多死亡病例后；面对尸横遍野的惨状，难道还能骗得了世界、骗得了公众吗？

 

 

        由于当今世界，所有的工业国和主要贸易国，都发生大面积疫情；因此，全球经济的停滞，甚至崩溃已经不可避免；经济活动停滞后，由于物质严重匮乏，就将对全球人们的生活，造成巨大冲击；像美国这种枪支泛滥的国家，以及有300多万难民的欧洲，极有可能发生，大规模的社会动乱；

 

           中国的应对之策

 

           1、准备启动经济内循环

 

           由于中国，是全球唯一拥有，完整产业门类的，最大工业国，同时，也是全球最大的单一市场；因此，中国将有条件实现，经济独立的内循环；从而使得中国经济，得以相对正常地运行；当然，这需要配套的、一揽子政策的导向和支持；

 

 

           2、对战略资源及民生产品，实施战时计划经济

 

          由于全球经济体系崩溃，生产活动基本中止，但是，几十亿人口，却还要维持生存；因此，中国将成为，全球抗疫的大后方，将为全世界的人民，提供最基本的生活保障，避免出现由于物资匮乏，而出现大规模饿死的情况；因此，首先需要稳固国内，建议提前做好如下安排：

 

            a、立刻核查并充实粮食战略储备，确保全国人民的口粮无忧；

 

            b、统筹安排今年的主粮生产，以及肉蛋禽鱼奶果蔬的生产总量；

 

            c、提前安排海外矿物、能源、农产品的原料储备及持续供应；

 

            d、对水、电、气、通讯、燃料、交通，实时国家战时统一管理及调配；

 

 

           3、地方政府，需就近开辟果蔬肉蛋基地

 

            果蔬肉蛋不便长期保存，但即时需求量又极其巨大；同时，像周边国家，如日本和韩国，果蔬几乎全部依赖中国进口，届时，这些副食品将极度紧缺；因此，除了国家层面总体统筹外，各个城市，应根据各自的条件，在城市周边，就近开辟生产基地，尽量缓解当地缺口，减轻国家副食品，生产运输的压力；

 

           4、企业应对层面

 

           对于中国的企业，需要立刻着手2件事

           第一，当务之急，也是最核心的事情，就是筛查评估，自己的原材料供应，应确保每一种原料，都有国内供应商备份；以保证一旦国外断供，国内的原料可以即时补充；其次，就是着手开发国内的客户，为企业的经营，找到新的出口；

 

            第二，一切企业，可根据各自的情况，提前布局考虑，生产民生产品；因为，一旦疫情发展到，国外经济全面停止；那么，几十亿人口的生活物资需求，都将依赖于中国的供应，这方面的缺口将极其巨大；这对企业而言，也是一个难得的机会；

 

            5、家庭应对层面

 

             对中国人来说，我们是幸运的，因为生活在这个，能战胜疫情的伟大国度；中国将是世界末日里的“诺亚方舟”，因此，特别提醒近期计划出国的人，能不出去尽量不出去；因为，一旦你下了船，就不一定有机会能再上来；即便一定要出去，那么，最好携带两套全方位防护服，到了国外就把它轮换着穿，直至回国；

 

        尽管我们在“诺亚方舟”上，但是，外面的“末日”还是会对我们，造成巨大的冲击；关键问题还是物资的紧缺；因为，中国届时将需要外调，大量的物资，支援全球抗战；相对而言，国内的部分物资，尤其是生活必需品，会出现适度紧张；因此，建议大家应适度地、分批储备一些食品及日用品；

 

 

        比如3~6个月的主食和油盐，2个月的冻肉和袋装食品，半个月到一个月的果蔬蛋奶；另外，最好储备一点绿叶菜种子，如芹菜、菠菜、青菜、韭菜等；因为，如果万一出现极端情况，那么，在主粮不缺的情况下，就可以开辟“十边地”，甚至在自家阳台的花盆里种植；这些速生绿叶菜，可为大家及时补充必要的维生素；

 

       尽管需要提前做些准备，但大家不必有任何恐慌；因为，中国的物资供应，将会首先保证国内需求；只是，未来如果万一出现短时紧张，大家因提前的适度储备，将既为自己也为国家，提供一定程度的缓冲时间，从而避免自己国内造成，不必要的紧急情况；

 

           在全球陷入“末日”的情况下，中国将是全世界的希望，她将肩负起拯救全人类的重任；最后到底能救多少人，我们不清楚；但是，只要还有中国在，人类的文明就将延续，深处苦难中的人们，就还会有希望；

 

           第三，雅尔塔体系终结，全球秩序彻底重塑

 

           对于人类命运共同体的建设，我们曾设想过很多种方案，但从来没有想到，她会在“世界末日”之际诞生；真是天地轮回，祸福相依；

 

          本来中国因率先爆发新冠肺炎，遭受了惨重的损失；但却正由于此，巨大的牺牲和责任担当，反而将自己打造成了“诺亚方舟”，从而得以有机会一举，将世界改天换地；

 

          众所周知，雅尔塔体系，是当今世界的主要秩序；其核心是二战后，由美苏中英法等战胜国，构建的三大秩序：即通过建立联合国安理会，构建的全球安全秩序；通过世贸总协定，也就是现在的国际贸易组织（WTO）,构建的全球经济贸易秩序；以及通过世界银行、国际货币基金组织，构建的全球金融秩序；

 

 

          之后，由于苏联的解体，使得以美国为首的西方，将该秩序的所有成果，据为己有；并以此来收割全世界的财富，啃食第三世界人民的血汗；不过这种秩序，事实上已经走到了尽头；但是，往往旧秩序的打破，和新秩序的建立，必然都要经历惨烈的战争，比如一战和二战；

 

          如今，雅尔塔体系也将被彻底打破，新的国际秩序，将按照中国的意志，进行重塑；因此，我们也必须经过，一场世界大战的洗礼；只是这场新的世界大战，敌人不是美国，而是新冠病毒；中国将成为人类有史以来，首个不是战争屠杀，而是以治病救人，取得世界主导权的国家；

 

           首先，来看政治秩序

 

           由于全球，都将被卷入新冠疫情之战，所有国家将无一幸免；因此，本次世界大战，其范围将远远超过二战；而其所造成的人员伤亡，也将数以千万，乃至以亿计，其惨烈程度，也将超过二战；

 

 

        作为旧秩序的代表，世卫组织也好，安理会也罢，其实对此次疫情，都将无能为力；如此，既然解决不了实际问题，那么，其权威就将不复存在；而广大的受疫国家，要想继续生存，那么就必须去找，能解决问题的人；

 

         而当今，唯有中国，才能重新构建起一条，全球抗疫的统一战线；并且，按照中国的意志，重新构建抗疫组织、制定行动规则，以及在中国的统一指挥下，才能有效抗击疫情；

 

        同时，在这场战疫中，中国前出的抗疫快速反应部队，充足的医疗物资弹药供应，以及大规模的后勤物资供应，才是战胜这场疫情的真正关键；因此，中国才是末日世界中，唯一的希望，也是当之无愧的领导者；

 

 

          其次，来看经济秩序；

 

          由于疫情大规模扩散，导致全球绝大部分国家，经济停摆，全球经济完全崩溃；由此，大规模的生活物资，将成为极度的稀缺资源；而此刻，只有中国，基本不受疫情影响，保持经济的内循环；如此，便可以源源不断地，生产各种战疫物资；

 

          这些国家，都急需这些关键物资，但中国不可能免费赠送；因此，他们就必须拿国内的资源，进行对等交换；同时，这些资源，也将被运回中国，加工成产品后，再度输送到全世界；

 

         如此，这些国家的资源、及消费市场，就会成为中国经济体系的一部分，从而完全纳入中国的经济循环； 而这些国家，仅剩的制造业，由于缺少产业配套，要么转移到中国生产，要么就只能破产消亡；

 

 

         因此，在这次危机之中，全球的制造业，将加速流向中国；中国的经济，将变得更加强大；这样，由于未来全球的制造业，将在中国高度集中；届时，中国的工业产值，可能将占到全球的80%以上；如此，其他国家的经济，就只能融入中国，否则，便无法生存；因而，中国将通过新冠战疫，顺势完成全球经济体系的构建；

 

         第三、来看金融秩序

 

          当前的金融秩序，是二战后，美国借助对欧洲，实施大规模援助的“马歇尔计划”；从而迅速构建起，以黄金为锚，以美元为中心的国际金融秩序；而如今，中国可通过战疫，向全球大规模实施，中国版的“马歇尔计划”；

 

          如同战后的欧洲一样，全球在新冠疫情的攻击下，生产凋敝，民生艰难；此时，全球急需中国大规模提供，医疗抗疫物资以及生活物资；而这些物资中，除极少部分，是中国无偿援助外，其他大量的物资，则需要进行等价交换；

 

 

         这些交换的物资，一部分将和对方的能源、矿产等资源，进行置换；而更大比例的物资，则需要购买；但购买这些稀缺的物资，只能使用人民币；由于各国经济已经崩溃，因此，他们的货币，已经形同废纸；

 

        此刻，这些国家手头上，持有的人民币并不多，这就需要中国央行，提供大量的人民币贷款，以便这些国家，用来购买中国的物资；如此，人民币便可以实物物资为锚，以人民币为中心，迅速替代美元，构建起自己的全球金融秩序；

 

         在此，我们善意地提醒国人，如果此时手头还持有众多的外币；最好尽早，将外币兑换为人民币；否则，一旦疫情大规模失控，到了物资稀缺之时，这些外币，就是一堆废纸；

 

 

          如果国外疫情，真如上述推理发展，那么，中国就将借助这次世界战疫，迅速登上世界的巅峰，实现民族的伟大复兴；恐怕这也是任何一个人，连做梦都想不到的一个，极富戏剧性的结果；

 

          那么，疫情有没有可能，中途被控制呢？存在这种可能，不过也是唯一的可能，那就是天气；当前，人类现有的医疗手段，以及医疗资源，完全无法控制病毒的蔓延；我们不妨略微来梳理一下：

 

        第一，西医的疗法；是必须研发出特效药，才能对患者治疗；而要防疫，就需要注射对应的疫苗；但是，从中国爆发疫情开始，已经2个月，疫苗连正式的临床，都还没开始，更不要说还要审批、生产、接种；至少在半年内，看不到任何实质性成果；因此，指望西医西药，根本就不靠谱；

 

 

        第二，中医的疗法；中医通过特定的药方，既可以对患者实施治疗，又可以熬制汤药，进行预防，因而，是一个比较有效的疗法；但是，目前中医只能应对少量病人，多了也将无能为力；

 

         因为，中草药的生长是需要时间的，现有的存量耗尽后，必须要经过一年，才能重新生长出来；而在之前，中国大规模地治疗患者，相信已经消耗了，大量的中药材储备，还剩下多少我们不清楚，但想必会非常有限；

 

         因此，抑制疫情的蔓延，最有效的方法，就是即时、大规模地隔离；但非常遗憾，通过上面的分析，我们已经知道，各国根本就做不到；这样的话，一切的希望，就只能寄托在天气上了；

 

 

         之前，与新冠类似的SARS病毒，对温度是比较敏感的；因此，2003年的SARS疫情，在6月份盛夏到来后，炎热的气温，杀死了绝大部分病毒；但是，目前我们并不确信，新冠病毒是否，同样惧怕高温炎热；

 

       倘若，新冠病毒同样惧怕高温，那么，在6月份北半球进入夏季后，疫情或可得到缓解；但全球要在此前，艰苦地熬过4个月；倘若病毒不惧高温，那么，恐怕“世界末日”，就将进行到底；

 

        在这场人类的浩劫之中，希望我们的国家，能够统筹有度，领导有方；希望我们的人民，能够沉着镇定，守望相助；只要全国人民同心同德、众志成城；我们就必定能够，支持全世界的人民，共同战胜新冠疫情，取得最后的胜利！